Trump mediated, Iran and Israel ceasefire, the Federal Reserve hinted at a rate cut, and the crypto market reversed over
ต้นฉบับ | Odaily Planet Daily ( @โอเดลี่ไชน่า )
ผู้แต่ง : เวนเซอร์ ( @เวนเซอร์ 2010 )
No one expected that overnight, the tense situation of the Iran-Israel conflict calmed down instantly; at the same time, the Federal Reserve, which had never relaxed its stance on interest rate cuts, also began to hint that it might start cutting interest rates again in July. Perhaps influenced by two favorable factors at the macro level, the การเข้ารหัสลับ market has a tendency to rebound overnight. BTC once rebounded to break through $106,000; ETH rebounded to break through $2,400.
Odaily Planet Daily will sort out last night and today’s “new events in the Middle East” and news related to the Federal Reserve in this article for readers’ reference.
Trumps War Scepter: From Middle East Alert to Iran-Israel Ceasefire
ตามที่เราได้กล่าวไว้ในบทความ The United States strikes Irans nuclear facilities, ETH becomes fuel and plummets 7% , Trump mobilized military forces to raid Irans nuclear facilities, and cryptocurrencies including ETH and BTC became war fuel; and on the evening of June 23rd, Beijing time, tensions in the Middle East further escalated, Iran and Israel hurled harsh words at each other, the United States also joined the war, and many countries in the Middle East were threatened by Irans attack and had to choose to close their airspace. In such an environment, Trump still gave full play to his ability to dance with long sleeves, combined with the war scepter in his hand, and temporarily stepped on the brakes for the Iran-Israel conflict in just about ten hours.
Iran: From preparing for war to ceasefire???
On the evening of June 22, a senior Iranian official พูดว่า that the Iranian government hopes that the United States will directly pay for the war, rather than standing behind Israel and advancing its own projects without paying any price. The official said, Iran estimates that this war may last up to two years, and Iran is ready for it. The words show the ruthlessness and decisiveness of dragging the United States into the quagmire of war.
Subsequently, Iranian media quoted senior Iranian political sources as พูดว่า that Iran is likely to attack US military facilities in the next few hours.
Just when the crypto market was in a state of panic, Iran took action.
According to Barak Ravid, a reporter for the Axios website, Israeli officials said Iran launched six missiles at the US base in Qatar. Later, witnesses said that explosions were heard over Doha, the capital of Qatar. As a result, Qatar closed its airspace, and the UAE followed suit and planned to close its airspace. At the same time, alarms sounded at all US military bases in the Middle East , including those in Syria, Iraq, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE and Oman.
The Iranian armed forces later stated that they had attacked the U.S. base in Qatars Al Udeid with devastating and powerful missiles during the operation.
Trump says Iran, Israel reach ceasefire agreement
But at about 6 a.m. today, Trump โพสต์แล้ว on his social media platform Truth Social that Israel and Iran have agreed to a comprehensive ceasefire. Iranian officials confirmed to Reuters that Iran has accepted the U.S. ceasefire proposal with Israel. In addition, after Iran attacked the U.S. air base in Qatar on the 23rd, Trump and Vice President Vance discussed the ceasefire proposal between Israel and Iran with the Emir, the head of Qatar. Trump told the Emir that Israel has agreed to a ceasefire and asked Qatar to help persuade Iran to agree to a ceasefire as well.
Perhaps influenced by this news, the crypto market began to rebound. At present, Irans attitude has eased, but the conclusion of the ceasefire agreement still needs time to test.
At 8:46 today, the Iranian Foreign Minister พูดว่า in a statement , So far, there has been no agreement between Israel and Iran on a ceasefire or cessation of military operations. However, as long as the Israeli regime stops its illegal aggression against the Iranian people no later than 4 a.m. Tehran time (8:30 Beijing time), we do not intend to continue to respond after that. The final decision on stopping our military operations will be made later.
Israel: From planning to attack to agreeing to ceasefire
Israels attitude changed extremely quickly.
On the evening of the 23rd, according to the Wall Street Journal, Israeli officials said they would continue to attack Iran’s military infrastructure, but were seeking to end the war with Iran as soon as possible.
Subsequently, an IDF spokesman ระบุไว้ that Israel will attack Irans military infrastructure in the next few days.
Perhaps it was Irans attack on the US military bases in the Middle East that made Israel realize that its existing military goals had been achieved and ending the war might be a better option. Israel then accepted the US mediation and agreed to a ceasefire.
Israeli Army Radio reporter Yanir Cozin previously reported that he had talked with Israeli officials and learned that Israel was indeed close to reaching a ceasefire agreement with Iran, but still needed to spend tonight (early this morning) in peace because Israel was currently launching a strong attack on Iran, and Iran might also launch a fierce attack on Israel. Earlier that day, at the end of the cabinet meeting, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu asked cabinet members not to comment on the recent developments, namely Trump announced that Israel and Iran agreed to a comprehensive ceasefire until further notice.
The United States: Launch missiles first, celebrate peace later
ตาม to AXIOS, the Iran-Israel ceasefire agreement was reached through mediation in Qatar and the United States. After Iran retaliated against the US air base in Qatar, Iran sent a message to the White House through Qatar, saying that it would not launch any more attacks. The White House also sent a message emphasizing that it would not retaliate against Irans attacks and stated that the United States is ready to resume negotiations with Iran. After that, the United States and Israel, Qatar and Iran continued to negotiate and reached an agreement on the terms and start time of the ceasefire.
Previously, Trump posted on the social media platform that the US nuclear submarine is the most powerful and deadly weapon ever, and launched 30 Tomahawk missiles, all of which hit the target (ie, Irans nuclear facilities).
Trump also knows that peace can only be achieved through war
It is worth mentioning that after announcing the Iran-Israel ceasefire agreement, Trump also posted two intriguing pictures on the Truth Social platform: one is a black and white personal photo with the caption Peace through Strength; the other is a photo released by the White House Office of Trump saluting with one hand, with the caption Peace Harmony.
Trump: Salute to America
Since then, the 12-day Iran-Israel conflict has temporarily come to an end, and the content of the subsequent ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran and Israel remains to be further revealed.
The Federal Reserve made its first “interest rate cut hint” and the result is expected to be known in July
On the other hand, the Federal Reserve, which had always been reluctant to give in on the issue of interest rate cuts, also broke with its usual practice and began to hint that it might consider cutting interest rates in July.
Fed Governor Bowman hints: May support rate cut in July
If inflation pressures are contained, I would support lowering the policy rate as soon as possible at our next meeting to move it closer to neutral and sustain a healthy labor market, พูดว่า Fed Governor Bowman.
Bowman has been very focused on inflation risks over the last year. She said she thinks tariffs are likely to lead to small and one-time increases in prices because she expects economic weakness to grow this year. She described the labor market as solid and expected to be near full employment. But she cited evidence of fragility — weakening labor market dynamism, slowing economic growth and a narrow concentration of job gains — as evidence that the Fed is taking the downside risks to our future employment mandate more seriously. It was Bowmans first substantive comments on the economic outlook since Trumps election, and the Senate confirmed her as vice chair for supervision this spring.
Feds Goolsbee: If the impact of trade policy disappears, interest rate cuts should continue
Feds Goolsbee พูดว่า this morning that if the impact of trade policy disappears, we should continue to cut interest rates. He later added : Since Trump imposed tariffs on April 2, there has been a lack of obvious inflationary pressure, which may enable the Fed to cut interest rates again. He recalled that the Fed expected to lower interest rates at the beginning of the year and paused the rate cuts, mainly because of policy uncertainty; he said: If we dont see inflation caused by these tariff increases, then in my opinion, we never left what I call the golden path before April 2. He compared tariffs to throwing a lot of dust in the air, so its hard to see if youre still on the road. If theres no dust in the air, then I think we should continue (cutting interest rates).
Summary: The market rebounded in the short term, but the long-term trend remains to be verified
Under the influence of the two good news of the ceasefire between Iran and Israel and the Federal Reserve hinting at a rate cut, the crypto market rebounded in the short term. BTC is currently temporarily standing at $105,000, ETH is standing above $2,400, and SOL is temporarily reported at around $143.
The subsequent trend of the market and the direction of mainstream currencies may still require an end to the Iran-Israel conflict and the early release of the Federal Reserves interest rate cut decision. However, given the extreme tensions and sudden changes in attitudes among the parties, the crypto market is likely to find answers in the shock.
This article is sourced from the internet: Trump mediated, Iran and Israel ceasefire, the Federal Reserve hinted at a rate cut, and the crypto market reversed overnight?
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